Business Modelling
The P&L your investors and bankers will trust — built on real unit economics.
Hospital business models are not intuitive. Specialty mix, payer mix, ALOS, OT utilisation, nurse-to-patient ratios, and depreciation on equipment all compound into a P&L with many moving parts. A spreadsheet that looks clean can hide three unrealistic assumptions.
We build bottom-up operating models tied to each clinical service line. Every revenue line has a volume, tariff, and payer-mix driver. Every cost line has a headcount or throughput driver. Sensitivity ranges show how the P&L flexes under realistic downside conditions.
The output is a model your CFO will own, your board will debate, and your lender will underwrite — not a one-time deck.
Outcomes we target and measure.
- 5–7 year financial projections with monthly detail for year 1–2
- Break-even analysis per specialty and per site
- Sensitivity analysis across tariff, volume, and payer-mix shifts
- Clear EBITDA bridge from current state to target state
- Capital structure recommendation (equity / debt / mezzanine)
Concrete outputs at the end of the engagement.
Every engagement ends with artefacts you own — documents, models, trackers, or live systems that your team runs after we leave.
- 01Fully editable operating model (Excel or Google Sheets)
- 02Assumption log with source citations
- 03Investor / lender pitch summary
- 04Monthly P&L tracker aligned to the model
You'll get the most from this if…
Raising growth capital or debt
Board planning a multi-site expansion
Current P&L doesn't reconcile to what leadership sees on the ground
New CFO wants a verified baseline before committing to targets
Often scoped alongside this engagement.
A 30-minute intro call maps the shape of the engagement.
Tell us where you are in the journey and who's involved on your side. We'll come back with a clear view of timeline, team, and first deliverable.